Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.007659 0.008580 0.009586 0.010771 0.012132 0.013650 0.015478
2025-05-18 0.006125 0.007350 0.008802 0.010664 0.013006 0.015879 0.019708
2025-05-25 0.005359 0.006729 0.008444 0.010773 0.013894 0.017990 0.023867
2025-06-01 0.004744 0.006171 0.008034 0.010684 0.014423 0.019608 0.027527
2025-06-08 0.004175 0.005587 0.007496 0.010314 0.014464 0.020495 0.030209
2025-06-15 0.003841 0.005276 0.007278 0.010342 0.015037 0.022176 0.034286
2025-06-22 0.003664 0.005161 0.007314 0.010725 0.016164 0.024812 0.040273
2025-06-29 0.003357 0.004824 0.006987 0.010510 0.016315 0.025892 0.043791
2025-07-06 0.003088 0.004519 0.006675 0.010279 0.016397 0.026846 0.047206
2025-07-13 0.002902 0.004322 0.006511 0.010263 0.016827 0.028436 0.052040
2025-07-20 0.002797 0.004243 0.006522 0.010532 0.017772 0.031057 0.059329
2025-07-27 0.002636 0.004060 0.006347 0.010463 0.018096 0.032555 0.064574
2025-08-03 0.002502 0.003919 0.006242 0.010528 0.018716 0.034792 0.072044
2025-08-10 0.002347 0.003733 0.006048 0.010417 0.018996 0.036410 0.078527
2025-08-17 0.002244 0.003625 0.005978 0.010523 0.019710 0.039028 0.087939
2025-08-24 0.002121 0.003472 0.005816 0.010437 0.020020 0.040815 0.095703
2025-08-31 0.001969 0.003259 0.005527 0.010077 0.019712 0.041176 0.099832
2025-09-07 0.001884 0.003159 0.005439 0.010104 0.020235 0.043524 0.109929
2025-09-14 0.001852 0.003151 0.005519 0.010477 0.021564 0.048014 0.127333
2025-09-21 0.001748 0.003006 0.005327 0.010268 0.021547 0.049172 0.135079
2025-09-28 0.001651 0.002865 0.005136 0.010042 0.021465 0.050153 0.142546
2025-10-05 0.001584 0.002780 0.005046 0.010027 0.021882 0.052515 0.155220
2025-10-12 0.001553 0.002759 0.005082 0.010289 0.023009 0.057003 0.176606